Expat worries are mistaken

The pro-independence movement is excited by the prospect of withdrawal. However, to secure that all-important “out” vote, it will be necessary to win over a good many people for whom the terms of the debate so far has made them anything but excited about the thought of “Brexit”. One such group is the expatriate community. Some of our compatriots living abroad are very concerned indeed.

The root of the problem is the strong language that has been used in the debate about immigration. For a number of voters, a desire to limit the number of people coming to the UK is the most important reason they would give for supporting withdrawal from the EU. Some of these people may have genuine concerns, such as suffering an increase in waiting times at their local GP’s surgery due to large numbers of migrants, or finding themselves undercut by Eastern European tradesmen willing to work for a pittance. Others may be xenophobes in the worst sense. For all the variety of reasons different people may give for their concerns, the net result is that there is considerable political capital to be made in talking tough on immigration, whether from the EU or elsewhere.

However, this cuts both ways. A substantial number of UK citizens live abroad – some 8% of our population, in fact. Most countries boasting large numbers of expatriate Brits are, unsurprisingly, Anglophone nations such as Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the USA, but the prospect of a retirement in the sunnier climate of the Mediterranean has attracted large numbers of our fellow-countrymen too. Estimates vary, but it is possible that as many as 700,000 UK citizens are resident in Spain and 200-400,000 in France. Also growing in popularity is Bulgaria, which boasts a pleasant climate, incredibly cheap housing and, at least in the villages, a strong community spirit. At least 50,000 of our countrymen have chosen to relocate to this country whose own citizens are not exactly popular when they come over here. It’s not just retired people who have moved abroad. Berlin, hardly renowned for sea, sand and sunshine, was home to over 14,000 Brits at the end of 2012 – many of them young people attracted by a city that has developed a trendy image in recent years.

If freedom of movement of people were curtailed when we leave the EU, what would become of these people? As has already been pointed out on this website, misinformation stating that they would become “illegal immigrants” has been put about by no less an individual than Dominic Grieve, the former Attorney General. As we pointed out, people who have acquired rights of residence will still have those rights whatever form of exit might ensue. They simply can’t be booted out. However, our blog isn’t reaching the areas it should, for a recent report suggests that a number of expats are so concerned about withdrawal thay they looking at acquiring dual citizenship to ensure they won’t end up stateless. Likewise, as the Guardian reported recently a number of EU citizens resident in the UK are considering similar action.

It would be a tragedy for the “out” campaign if immigration was to become the most dominant issue. It would mean that we would lose, point blank, and the blame lying with wishful thinking. Given that the most seamless exit route from the EU is via the EEA and EFTA, whatever some people might desire, we would still initially remain subject to all four freedoms of the Single Market, including free movement of people, so compulsory repatriation of EU residents just isn’t going to happen. Within the EEA, we need not allow the dependents of migrant workers from the EU to join them and if we feel we are struggling to cope with the number of EU citizens arriving here, there is the possibility of applying a temporary brake, as Liechtenstein has done. That is all. Furthermore, any long-term arrangement replacing the EEA agreement would inevitably want to ensure the preservation of vested rights – a fundamental principle of international law – allowing long-term residents to remain where they are. It is, of course, possible that independence may well result in substantial numbers of people voluntarily returning to their own country. Some expats, disillusioned with recent politics in the UK, may feel that independence offers a chance to put the country right and come home. Some EU citizens currently resident in the UK may decide that they do not wish to reside outside of the EU, even if they would not be treated any differently in an independent UK. However, we cannot be sure what will happen. Others clearly like it here and will want to stay, come what may. It is therefore better for them and for our own expatriate community if ALL supporters of withdrawal keep the focus on what really counts – the re-establishment of UK sovereignty – rather than allowing free movement of people to dominate the forthcoming campaign. Those who are uncomfortable with the current level of immigration will vote to leave regardless. Their votes are already in the bag. We need to focus on winning the votes of people who have other concerns and alienating our expat community for no sensible reason will do our cause no good.

For further comment on the Guardian Article, we recommend the latest article in the EU Referendum blog.

Print Friendly, PDF & Email
John Petley

John Petley

John Petley is Operations Manager for Campaign for an Independent Britain

More Posts

3 comments

  1. Ken WorthyReply

    Liechtenstein’s temporary brake on immigration from the EU has lasted since 1994. The main reason for this, given by Liechtenstein during protracted negotiations, was a large increase in immigration from the EU. I think we could probably match that. The main advantage of rejoining EFTA is that we would increase their ability and willingness to stand up to the EU in negotiations and reject any future EU legislation that does not suit them, as they have a right to do. Large scale immigration is a major problem for the UK, as it is for the rest of the EU. The EU shows no sign of being able to resolve it, so we need to find our own civilised way of doing it. You are absolutely right that we need to publicise the fact that no-one wants to send them all home.

  2. Gordon WebsterReply

    Precious few know the level of immigration into Britain and the Press are continuing to promote the Establishments lies. In January 2013 Lord Hodgson (Hansard) of Astley Abbot, received the reply to a question on the number of “Active,” National Insurance Numbers in Britain, that at 31st December 2012, there were 65 million. We know that there are 14 million children in Britain, even allowing for the Child Benefit which goes to Eastern Europe. If Migration Watch’s figures of Net Migration in excess of 300,000 a year since 2011, then why can’t I get those figures to match the Government’s total of 64.5 million people in Britain?

  3. Roger mewReply

    As someone who lives in France, I am disgusted that the many millions of us are not getting the vote. The fact that we will be wanting to stay in the EU is not the point. Further it seems that those who want to do a U turn are cognisant of all the facts. Even if the UK were to be totally in the EU, and if the EU became a more in depth group the UK would NOT lose sovereignty. One only has to look at the US of A and see how each state deals with life. The main government does not control per se individual states, for example Nevada has Brothels, some states have capital punishment, some states drinking at 18 some at 21 some at 25. This very fact pulled up some interesting things over the draft creating different ages potentially.
    However, there really should be no U turns. Coming “out” of the EU does not and will not stop immigration, just make it harder to police. For example there will be no incentive for Portuguese police to help catch Brazilian forgeries of Portuguese ID cards.
    Many Companies Exporting to say the US will actually go back to mainland EU as the original reason for them to export from the UK has gone, eg sprachen zie englander. So for example the BMW plants will migrate back to Germany as will toyota to somewhere else in the real EU. We HAD to join the EU back in the 1970’s as our finances were in the toilet and countries like the US or CONUS (Continent of the US being Canada, Mexico and the US) preferred to deal with a “Bloke” speaking country and not in German etc. That has now gone as virtually all Germans, Dutch, Spanish speak English. France is beginning to realise that draconian employment laws are killing France so companies that went to the UK from France will leave for other places. The one funnel tug boat that is the UK will flounder in the Atlantic. Life is like an autobahn, no U turns, no stopping. perhaps the UK is acting more like a UK motorway than an EU auto route, extended road works, silly speed limits and congestion.
    Be aware what you wish for, just stopping may get you rammed up the back!

Leave a comment